Stocks & Futures Prices & Trends

EXPECTED RELEVANT PRICE AREAS AND EXPECTED CLOSES FOR JULY 18, 2005

2005-07-15T20:05:00.000-07:00

Upper Relevant Price Area(URPA)---Middle Relevant Price Area(MRPA)---Lower Relevant Price Area(LRPA)---EXPECTED CLOSE DIRECTION

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE
10772.39----10628.01----10550.92----HIGHER

EURO FX FUTURES (Sep '05)
1.2166-------1.2090-------1.1960----HIGHER

GOLD FUTURES (Aug '05)
432.13-------419.63------413.03-----LOWER

IBM
83.47---------82.23---------81.65-----LOWER

FEI COMPANY
22.46---------21.68--------21.50-----LOWER

GENERAL ELECTRIC
36.26---------35.34---------35.03-----LOWER

KRISPY KREME DOUGHNUTS
7.07-----------7.06----------6.88-----LOWER

WALMART STORES, INC.
50.90---------50.29---------49.894----LOWER

NASDAQ COMPOSITE
2173.65------2152.84-----2132.62-----LOWER

S & P 500 FUTURES (Sep '05)
1238.63------1230.43-----1222.93-----HIGHER

10-YEAR TREASURY NOTE YIELD INDEX
4.240---------4.182--------4.135-----HIGHER

SUGAR FUTURES(Oct '05)
9.69 ----------9.53----------9.50-----LOWER

30-YEAR TREASURY BOND FUTURES (Sep '05)
116-30--------116-07-----115-17-----LOWER

CORRELATIONS OF REAL-TIME PRICES TO PROJECTIONS for JULY 15, 2005

2005-07-15T19:57:00.000-07:00

.......HOW DID THE MARKET GET HERE?!!!!!!!..... WERE THERE ANY RELEVANT PRICE AREAS I SHOULD HAVE KNOWN ABOUT?.....WHEN DID THE TREND START?????...

DOW... low(within 8.01 points)

EURO... high(exact)

GOLD... high(within .10 points) and expected close correct

IBM... high and low

FEI CO... expected close correct

GE... expected close correct

KRISPY KREME... high(within .01 point) and expected close correct

WALMART... high(within .05 points) and expected close correct

NASDAQ COMPOSITE...

S & P 500 FUTURES... high(within .47 points) and low(within .07 points)

10-YEAR TREASURY NOTE YIELD INDEX... low(within .01 point) and expected close correct

SUGAR... high(within .02 point) and expected close correct

30-YEAR TREASURY BONDS... high(within 4 points) and expected close correct

DAILY MARKET COMMENTARY

2005-07-15T19:55:00.000-07:00

"THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND"

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MARKET COMMENTARY(DAILY-JUL 15 , 2005){after the close)......
DOW... an uptrend was discerned July 12, 2005; it is important that the expected close is correct and that prices take out the resistance area they are now in

EURO... a downtrend was discerned April 26, 2005; it will be interesting to see, if the expected close is correct, if the 'early warning signal' will be put back on

GOLD... a downtrend was discerned July 06, 2005; it is logical at this point to assume that the lows around the 415 area will be tested

IBM... an uptrend was discerned July 11, 2005; it will be interesting to see, if the expected close is correct, if the recent gap will be filled

FEI COMPANY... a downtrend was discerned July 15, 2005; the expected close is given credence by falling stochastics

GENERAL ELECTRIC... a downtrend was discerned June 16, 2005; an 'early warning signal' is being discerned at this point and prices must fall back below the 'key price area' if this trend is to continue

KRISPY KREME DOUGHNUTS... a downtrend was discerned June 24, 2005; an 'early warning signal' is being discerned at this point and the expected close is up against rising stochastics

WALMART STORES... an uptrend was discerned July 06, 2005; prices took out the resistance area at the 50.25 area but fell right back below it

NASDAQ... an uptrend was discerned May 17, 2005; one wishes that every discerned trend was as beautiful as this one however the expected close is given credence by extreme stochastics

S & P 500 FUTURES... an uptrend was discerned July 06, 2005; there appears to be a support area at the 1225 area

10-YEAR TREASURY NOTE YIELD INDEX... an uptrend was discerned July 11, 2005; the resistance area at the 4.190 level must be taken out on a closing basis if this trend is to go anywhere

30-YEAR TREASURY BOND... a downtrend was discerned July 14, 2005; and the expected close is given credence by falling stochastics and a discerned 'strong bearish divergence'

SUGAR... an uptrend was discerned May 24, 2005; the expected close is given credence by falling stochastics

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2005-07-15T16:42:00.000-07:00

DOW daily

2005-07-15T16:41:00.000-07:00

Bonds daily

DISCLAIMER

2005-04-27T05:57:00.000-07:00

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